Australian Dollar 13.11.2018

AUD has technically created a base, around 0.70 level on the back of Trump announcing his willingness to cut a deal with China after the G20 summit by the end of November. This could be the beginning of the end to the trade war story. This would bode very well for the Australian dollar as risk-on flows would pick up. China is actively stimulating its own economy via liquidity injection and infrastructure spending. Which prompts increased raw material imports from Australia and thus aids the economy and AUD. Australian Dollar has been trading much lower than Australian commodity price...

USDCHF 24.09.2018 28.09.2018

This week USDCHF is making a textbook example of pullback inside an uptrend, we are talking about cot data. “During a correction from a prevailing uptrend, +40 point in movement in the Cot Index within a six-week period often marks the end of a corrective pullback, and the resumption of the major uptrend”(BRIESE, 2008, p.76) Surge in Movement Index We are in a very interesting point in USDCHF because we should consider the resume of an uptrend or a Trend change for the downside. “The failure of a +-40 point in Movement Index signal to restart prevailing trend is...

Disclaimer

The Trade of the week, 3-month course, and Annual membership. Grants you part or full access to TOTW, a private messaging channel, private twitter feed and 12 weekly modules accessible via speculatorstrading.com. The information provided across all platforms is for educational intend only. No individual from speculatorstrading.com is responsible for the timing or accuracy of the information shared. This is not a signal service or trade recommendation service. All charting, analysis, research, posts, articles, graphs or other related financial and or economic information has been carefully selected to foster the learning process only. Timing and intervals of research, analysis,...

EURCHF 02-07 06-07 2018

EURCHF Long The pair has battled its way out of a multi-daily insidebar . EURCHF short exposure has reached extremes. Mainly due to political turmoil in Europe. As these negative effects are fading off the headlines. The short side is extremely vulnerable to a squeeze. Recent Swiss data has been somewhat disappointing against a strengthening EZ backdrop. Furthermore, sight deposits indicate SNB intervention actively devaluing CHF. The risk to the trade Should Italian turmoil pick up in the near term and threaten Euro stability. The likelihood of a resurging CHF is on the cards. There is a great chance 1.20...

AUDJPY 30.04-04.05 2018

AUDJPY Long Latest COT positioning revealed an increase in open interest, while shorts retreated and longs increased. This is great news and could lead to AUD turning net positive. A catalyst for further AUD appreciation could be provided by 3rd of May housing stats, where a rebound in data is likely. Furthermore, U.S. delegation visiting China to negotiate trade will go a long way to boost global risk sentiment. Should talk smooth trade war worries. In such a scenario AUDJPY upside potential is immense, as this pair accurately represents investors risk appetite. Coupled with relief from N.K. positive political...

USDCAD 16-20.04 2018

USDCAD Long This pair has carved a near-term bottom and suggests a surge back to 1.27 (currently trading at 1.25). The dynamic behind the sharp recent drop wasn’t only Canadian dollar risk premium unwind from NAFTA talks but also massive oil rally from recent turmoil in Syria. As Canadian dollar follows oil prices we saw an overly sharp drop in this pair. We see oil long covering to drop prices. Canadian dollar bulls to halt further buying prior to BOC rate statement and 20th of April  Fridays retail sales data. Inline with that view technicals suggest a climb back...

USDCHF 08/08/2018

USDCHF SHORT This week we are shorting USDCHF using COT data as our rationale. COT data reveals an incredible inside intelligence. Despite the myth that only non-commercial(Large speculators) are important to observe, commercials(Hedgers) have the same importance. Non-commercials are responsible for fuelling trends while commercials to cap or halt the trends.  And even with a huge amount of capital, these two groups have, one moment their buying/selling power exhausts and its in that moment that trends changes. Another fact is this change also occur when open interest reaches a peak, if both occur at the same moment we have...

EURUSD 09-13.04 2018

EURUSD LONG Trade war talk and lower NFP print gave EURUSD an opportunity to bounce. But option defender at 1.2200 and FOMC on Wednesday are lending a hand to push the price to 1.2370 again. And possibly the start of the next leg up on this pair. Following the last FOMC minutes where the indication was given that the FED will hike a total of 4 times this year. Preemptively inviting euro sellers. The upcoming minutes of the meeting are likely hawkish too and inline with the last one. In other words old news. There is a slight downward risk...

Scroll to top
:)